Fun with Malagueña
I decided to break out my keyboard and play a little ditty…enjoy!
Archive for April, 2008
Obama on gas prices
Here’s Senator Obama from Indianapolis, speaking about the need to take on special interests who are preventing meaningful energy reform…
Primary Numbers: Another look
Here’s another look at the numbers from NBC’s Chuck Todd as posted by the Obama campaign. Todd’s numbers concede North Carolina to Obama by a large margin and then goes from there. By his estimates, Clinton actually needs to win 80% of all remaining primaries not including North Carolina.
The blog at Wired.com reports that an “anonymous” super delegate as saying that, “There is a lot of debate going on over on private DNC member listserves…The main issue is a) do we make our leanings known now or b) do we wait until all of the states have had an opportunity to vote? As of this writing, there is not a consensus.”
Everyone knows it now. It’s down to the super delegates who will selected the democratic nominee, and next President of the United States.
Think they are feeling the pressure?
Pennsylvania primary was as expected
Well, actually the results turned out to be 1 point less than what the Clinton campaign had expected based on earlier polls.
What analysts said before the PA primary: Clinton needed a clear double digit win in PA to make the argument that she should continue to seek the nomination. A win by a smaller margin or a loss by any margin to Obama would have been a significant signal for her to end her campaign.
What happened in PA: Clinton won by 10 points, just edging into the double digits margin said to be needed to sustain her campaign. In other words, she barely passed in PA and only gained a net 16 more delegates than Obama, leaving her 154 total pledged delegates behind Obama.
Upcoming primaries: There are 408 pledged delegates left to be gained in the upcoming primaries. Even if Clinton won every primary with a 20 point margin (10 points higher than her win in PA), she would still be 49 delegates behind Obama. Clinton must win 66% of all the remaining primaries to be ahead in pledged delegates. If 10 points was significant in PA, then 20 points may require an act of God. It’s unlikely that Clinton will be able to capture the nomination through pledged delegates.
Super Delegates: Like it or not, super delegates will be deciding this election. Whether they decide before or at the Democratic National Convention, this nomination in their hands. For the moment, Clinton is 24 super delegates ahead of Obama. Lately though, He has been building his super delegate count, even capturing former Clinton delegates and others once connected with the Clinton’s. Howard Dean, the chairman of the Democratic National Committee, is calling on super delegates to make their decision and announce their support soon.
Looking towards convention: The democrats are losing time. Voters and super delegates need to be more united and decisive. If this race ends at convention, the party will have lost months building their national campaign and will only have about three months to focus on the election in November.
